Saturday, July 31, 2010

Tropical weather outlook for the Caribbean

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT JUL 31 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE
OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA HAS DIMINISHED. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR...BUT THERE IS STILL A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...THAT IT WILL BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.

A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN AND A SMALL
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ARE PRODUCING A LARGE AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DEVELOPMENT OF EITHER SYSTEM SHOULD BE
SLOW TO OCCUR...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

FORECASTER BERG