Wednesday, August 11, 2010

Tropical weather outlook

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 11 2010

CORRECTED MILEAGE FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE.

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC... CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ...LOCATED ABOUT 185 MILES SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT... AND ANY INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM ORGANIZATION COULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE... 70PERCENT... OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST OVER THE ATLANTIC.

SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS. THE WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH AND DEVELOPMENT... IF ANY ...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT ...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

FORECASTER CANGIALOSI