Saturday, August 7, 2010

Tropical weather outlook

TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT AUG 7 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM COLIN... LOCATED ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC ABOUT 850 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT AROUND 15 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE ... 40 PERCENT ... OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION THIS MORNING. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE LATER TODAY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE ... 10 PERCENT ... OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

FORECASTER BLAKE