Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Tropical weather outlook

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 25 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DANIELLE... LOCATED ABOUT 795 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 MPH. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND IS NOW MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER... AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING. ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE INITIATED ON THIS DISTURBANCE LATER THIS MORNING. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE... NEAR 100 PERCENT ...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS

A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO TO THE EAST OF SOUTHERN TEXAS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE AND DEVELOPMENT ... IF ANY ...OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD OR WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE... 10 PERCENT ...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

FORECASTER STEWART