TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT AUG 28 2010
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC... CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DANIELLE ...LOCATED ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA... AND ON TROPICAL STORM EARL ...LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM... ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE ...IS LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS ... ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE... 80 PERCENT... OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20MPH.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO ARE DISORGANIZED. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT NORTHWARD OVER LOUISIANA LATER TODAY... AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE... 10 PERCENT ... OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/AVILA
