Monday, August 16, 2010

Tropical weather outlook

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON AUG 16 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE... THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE... IS LOCATED OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE ...60 PERCENT ...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO COAST THROUGH TUESDAY. SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH