Tropical weather outlook

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT AUG 28 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC... CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DANIELLE ...LOCATED ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA... AND ON TROPICAL STORM EARL ...LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM... ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE ...IS LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS ... ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE... 80 PERCENT... OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20MPH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO ARE DISORGANIZED. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT NORTHWARD OVER LOUISIANA LATER TODAY... AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE... 10 PERCENT ... OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/AVILA

Hurricanes in the Atlantic

The hurricane Danielle is now a very dangerous category 4 hurricane, fortunately she is over the open waters of the Atlantic and means no threat for any land, the tropical storm Earl is following the same steps than Danielle and it is expected he can become a hurricane on the next 24 to 36 hours, again no threat for any land. A third area of disturbed weather formed in the Atlantic near the Cape Verde islands off the coast of Africa, it has now a 70% chance to become a tropical depression over the next 48 hours, although the projected path indicates that again it will go to the central Atlantic we better will keep an eye on that one. Have a nice weekend!

Cancun current weather

Sky this morning is mostly clear although we could have isolated showers over the course of the day, according to the doppler radar no important precitipation is likely for the areas of Cancun and Playa del Carmen, the current temperature is 86°F and 70% humidity.

Tropical weather outlook

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI AUG 27 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON MAJOR HURRICANE DANIELLE... LOCATED ABOUT 545 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 1430 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE ACCOMPANIED BY A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CENTERED ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVERNIGHT... ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM ...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE ...70 PERCENT... OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE ...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

FORECASTER STEWART

Cancun current weather

Mostly clear sky, current temperature 86°F and 75% humidity. Scattered showers are expected in the late afternoon for the areas of Cancun, Cozumel and Playa del Carmen. Generally very fair weather conditions to make water sports and rest on the beach. As we anticipated yesterday the tropical disturbance near Cape Verde is now tropical storm Earl and could be upgraded to hurricane on the next 24 hours, that storm is following almost the same path of hurricane Danielle, both are in the open waters of the Atlantic and does not represent a threat for any land. There is no warnings for Mexico because of any of those cyclones.

Tropical weather outlook

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU AUG 26 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC... CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DANIELLE ...LOCATED ABOUT 640 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS... AND ON TROPICAL STORM EARL... LOCATED ABOUT 695 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

FORECASTER BEVEN

Tropical Weather in the Atlantic

Hurricane Danielle is still over the Atlantic ocean and does not represent any danger for mainland so far, the area of disturbed weather near Cape Verde islands is about to become a tropical depression and eventually the tropical storm Earl, the advisories from the National Hurricane Center could initiate later this morning, at that point an official forecast of its path will be released, however according to computer models it will follow the same steps than hurricane Danielle. In regard the low area in the Gulf of Mexico near the coast of Texas it does not have any chance to develop into a tropical cyclone due to the proximity to the shoreline. Have a great Wednesday!